Wednesday 31 October 2012

Germany is top performing European commercial real estate market

Germany and Russia as the top performing European real estate markets in the second quarter of 2012, according to the latest  commercial property surveys from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors. However, RICS sees expectations for Germany improving at a more modest pace in comparison to previous quarters. Indeed, the crisis in the eurozone is now raising concerns as to whether the German economy and its real estate market can continue to buck the more gloomy picture pervading much of the rest of Europe.
Russia and France saw available space continue to rise whilst in Russia occupier demand continued to increase, albeit at a slower pace, in France occupier demand declined. Poland’s absence from the top of the rankings is notable and comes on the back of sub-par economic growth performance. Available space continues to increase which the report says is contributing to a slightly softer rental picture.
The survey indicates that signs of stress are spreading from the periphery to other markets. Greece, Spain, Ireland, Portugal, France and Italy in particular showed signs of distress during this quarter of the year, with both sentiment and activity levels suffering on the back of elevated uncertainty.
The investment market in Poland, influenced by the weakness of its zloty, lost momentum with enquiries and capital value expectations easing a little following a couple of years of strong gains.
With respondents acting more cautiously in both the occupier and investment markets, expectations for the eurozone are even gloomier for the third quarter of the year.
The re-emergence of the euro crisis allied to generally weaker economic numbers has clearly taken its toll on much of the real estate world. It remains to be seen whether they can continue to buck the more gloomy trend if the macro data remains disappointing,’ said Simon Rubinsohn, RICS chief economist.
In the rest of the world, following on from strong first quarter results, the commercial real estate market in North America and Canada has maintained its more positive mood in both occupier and investor markets despite the global economic slowdown. China and Hong Kong also appear to have relatively resilient occupier markets for the time being.